Диссертация: Поведение толпы и ликвидность на российском рынке акций

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Приложение 3

Распределение активов по портфелям (по годам)

Тикер

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

GAZP

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

SBER

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

ROSN

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LKOH

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

GMKN

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

SNGS

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

NVTK

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

VTBR

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

NLMK

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

OGKB

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

TATN

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

MC

TGKA

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MC

TGKN

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MSRS

SC

SC

SC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MTSS

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

CHMF

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

HYDR

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

LC

MC

LC

LC

FEES

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

LC

LC

LC

MTLR

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MC

MC

LC

MAGN

LC

LC

LC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

LC

MGNT

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

PLZL

LC

LC

LC

LC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

TRNF

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

MC

AFKS

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

LC

MC

MC

MC

RSTI

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

UPRO

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

RASP

MC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MC

MC

LSRG

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

TRMK

SC

SC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

IRAO

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

LC

LC

MC

RTKM

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

LC

LC

MC

MC

MSNG

MC

MC

MC

SC

SC

SC

MC

MC

MC

ENRU

SC

SC

SC

SC

MC

SC

MC

MC

MC

AFLT

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

SC

SC

MC

PIKK

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

SC

SC

SC

MRKC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

AKRN

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

SC

BSPB

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MVID

MC

MC

SC

MC

SC

MC

SC

SC

SC

VSMO

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

SC

MRKP

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MRKV

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MRKU

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MRKZ

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SVAV

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

WTCM

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

APTK

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

AMEZ

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

ALRS

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

MC

MC

-

MSTT

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

SC

MC

SC

-

PHOR

MC

LC

MC

LC

LC

MC

MC

-

-

MOEX

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

MC

-

-

-

POLY

LC

MC

MC

MC

LC

MC

-

-

-

YNDX

LC

LC

LC

LC

LC

-

-

-

-

RUAL

LC

LC

LC

LC

-

-

-

-

-

CBOM

MC

MC

MC

MC

-

-

-

-

-

SFIN

SC

MC

MC

SC

-

-

-

-

-

RNFT

MC

MC

MC

-

-

-

-

-

-

DSKY

MC

MC

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

OBUV

SC

SC

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Приложение 4

Статистика по объёму торгов портфелей и среднедневной волатильности

Объём торгов, взвешенный по кол-ву активов, млрд. руб.

Кол-во сделок, взвешенное по кол-ву активов, тыс.

Среднедневная волатильность, %

Рыночный портфель

Весь период

1 532.78

15 110

2.70%

2011-2013

619.91

5 087

2.83%

2014-2016

440.03

4 900

2.85%

2017-2019

472.84

5 123

2.40%

LC

Весь период

3 881.64

32 810

1.85%

2011-2013

1 655.66

12 561

1.84%

2014-2016

1 089.88

10 337

1.69%

2017-2019

1 138.16

9 931

1.98%

MC

Весь период

425.07

7 375

2.04%

2011-2013

99.63

1 675

2.22%

2014-2016

113.19

2 398

2.15%

2017-2019

212.69

3 312

1.73%

SC

Весь период

73.24

2 855

3.97%

2011-2013

16.96

389

4.23%

2014-2016

15.76

812

4.21%

2017-2019

40.55

1 657

3.49%

Приложение 5

Подбор оптимальной GARCH спецификации к акциям, участвующим в исследовании на основе Loglikelihood

Stocks

T-GARCH NORM

T-GARCH SSTD

E-GARCH NORM

E-GARCH SSTD

GARCH SSTD

Лучшая спецификация GARCH

AKRN

6358.9

6544.0

6364.5

6556.4

6543.0

E-GARCH SSTD

AFLT

5730.2

5870.1

5722.5

5868.1

5869.5

T-GARCH SSTD

AFKS

5259.9

5685.0

5246.5

5681.6

5679.9

T-GARCH SSTD

AMEZ

5375.5

5669.6

5382.0

5675.3

5668.8

E-GARCH SSTD

APTK

5350.6

5960.8

5321.1

5981.2

5958.8

E-GARCH SSTD

BSPB

5864.1

6132.5

5879.0

6141.0

6131.2

E-GARCH SSTD

CHMF

5802.2

5882.1

5802.2

5880.2

5877.2

T-GARCH SSTD

ENRU

5938.2

6197.9

5948.4

6207.1

6197.9

E-GARCH SSTD

FEES

5379.2

5548.8

5380.1

5554.4

5540.3

E-GARCH SSTD

GAZP

6146.5

6292.7

6141.7

6294.4

6287.9

E-GARCH SSTD

HYDR

5851.2

5967.0

5831.4

5961.3

5963.1

T-GARCH SSTD

LKOH

6367.7

6449.0

6365.3

6446.5

6446.7

T-GARCH SSTD

LSRG

5826.8

6073.5

5849.7

6085.1

6072.4

E-GARCH SSTD

MAGN

5632.8

5705.9

5625.3

5700.5

5704.3

T-GARCH SSTD

MGNT

5771.2

5877.1

5764.0

5873.4

5871.3

T-GARCH SSTD

MRKC

5662.7

5860.4

5682.1

5868.5

5860.4

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKV

5293.7

5569.9

5333.9

5601.6

5570.3

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKU

5396.1

5632.3

5397.7

5637.1

5632.2

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKP

5451.0

5730.5

5464.8

5740.0

5730.5

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKZ

5216.4

5324.6

5217.2

5329.4

5323.6

E-GARCH SSTD

MSNG

5850.8

6040.6

5851.9

6042.7

6039.8

E-GARCH SSTD

MSRS

5955.9

6262.3

5991.7

6273.0

6262.0

E-GARCH SSTD

MTLR

4678.2

5064.3

4676.6

5060.7

5060.3

T-GARCH SSTD

MTSS

6125.4

6312.4

6134.0

6313.8

6311.5

E-GARCH SSTD

MVID

5785.4

6104.2

5818.3

6130.9

6103.1

E-GARCH SSTD

NLMK

5687.8

5732.5

5689.0

5731.8

5726.0

T-GARCH SSTD

NVTK

5944.5

6058.0

5950.9

6057.7

6056.1

T-GARCH SSTD

OGKB

5381.0

5563.3

5377.2

5560.9

5562.3

T-GARCH SSTD

PIKK

6188.2

6457.6

6188.9

6461.0

6457.1

E-GARCH SSTD

PLZL

5758.9

6341.0

5990.9

6350.8

6340.8

E-GARCH SSTD

RASP

5188.1

5411.6

5188.3

5412.5

5406.7

E-GARCH SSTD

ROSN

6253.8

6288.4

6254.7

6289.1

6287.4

E-GARCH SSTD

RTKM

6206.0

6432.9

6203.0

6441.7

6430.3

E-GARCH SSTD

RSTI

5124.5

5298.4

5121.1

5300.3

5296.1

E-GARCH SSTD

SBER

5798.8

5912.9

5802.5

5913.9

5907.9

E-GARCH SSTD

SNGS

6140.4

6225.7

6140.7

6225.0

6224.2

T-GARCH SSTD

SVAV

5648.4

5877.8

5660.4

5889.3

5875.9

E-GARCH SSTD

TATN

5751.2

5795.7

5756.6

5796.7

5786.3

E-GARCH SSTD

TGKA

5649.1

5761.7

5646.8

5762.3

5760.3

E-GARCH SSTD

TGKN

5218.7

5593.5

5229.3

5623.6

5593.4

E-GARCH SSTD

TRMK

5678.1

5906.6

5664.9

5912.8

5903.6

E-GARCH SSTD

UPRO

5987.7

6177.5

6013.2

6191.6

6177.3

E-GARCH SSTD

VSMO

6274.2

6542.3

6286.5

6557.0

6534.8

E-GARCH SSTD

VTBR

5962.6

6181.5

5958.7

6182.6

6179.7

E-GARCH SSTD

WTCM

5280.7

6315.4

5249.8

6095.1

6304.0

T-GARCH SSTD

MSTT

5800.1

6266.6

5791.3

6271.1

6266.5

E-GARCH SSTD

GMKN

6010.3

6155.3

5987.0

6153.6

6153.8

T-GARCH SSTD

TRNFP

5867.6

5987.4

5865.2

5991.5

5986.8

E-GARCH SSTD

IRAO

5557.1

5660.8

5542.9

5663.5

5655.5

E-GARCH SSTD

ALRS

5628.4

5893.8

5650.4

5889.3

5885.9

T-GARCH SSTD

CBOM

5761.2

5785.7

5766.6

5786.7

5776.3

E-GARCH SSTD

DSKY

5649.1

5761.7

5646.8

5762.3

5760.3

E-GARCH SSTD

MOEX

5218.7

5593.5

5229.3

5623.6

5593.4

E-GARCH SSTD

POLY

5678.1

5916.6

5674.9

5912.8

5905.6

T-GARCH SSTD

OBUV

5648.4

5877.8

5660.4

5889.3

5875.9

E-GARCH SSTD

SFIN

5761.2

5775.7

5776.6

5783.7

5786.3

GARCH SSTD

YNDX

5649.1

5761.7

5646.8

5762.3

5760.3

E-GARCH SSTD

RNFT

5218.7

5593.5

5229.3

5623.6

5593.4

E-GARCH SSTD

PHOR

5678.1

5906.6

5664.9

5912.8

5913.6

GARCH SSTD

RUAL

5381.0

5563.3

5377.2

5560.9

5562.3

T-GARCH SSTD

Итого:

60

E-GARCH SSTD

41

T-GARCH SSTD

17

GARCH SSTD

2

Приложение 6

Подбор оптимальной GARCH спецификации к акциям, участвующим в исследовании на основе критерия Акаике (AIC)

Stocks

T-GARCH NORM

T-GARCH SSTD

E-GARCH NORM

E-GARCH SSTD

GARCH SSTD

Лучшая спецификация GARCH

AKRN

-5.618

-5.780

-5.623

-5.791

-5.780

E-GARCH SSTD

AFLT

-5.062

-5.184

-5.055

-5.182

-5.184

GARCH SSTD

AFKS

-4.646

-5.020

-4.634

-5.017

-5.017

T-GARCH SSTD

AMEZ

-4.748

-5.007

-4.754

-5.012

-5.007

E-GARCH SSTD

APTK

-4.726

-5.264

-4.700

-5.282

-5.263

E-GARCH SSTD

BSPB

-5.180

-5.416

-5.194

-5.424

-5.416

E-GARCH SSTD

CHMF

-5.126

-5.195

-5.126

-5.193

-5.191

T-GARCH SSTD

ENRU

-5.246

-5.474

-5.255

-5.482

-5.475

E-GARCH SSTD

FEES

-4.752

-4.900

-4.753

-4.905

-4.893

E-GARCH SSTD

GAZP

-5.430

-5.558

-5.426

-5.559

-5.554

E-GARCH SSTD

HYDR

-5.169

-5.270

-5.152

-5.265

-5.267

T-GARCH SSTD

LKOH

-5.626

-5.696

-5.624

-5.694

-5.695

T-GARCH SSTD

LSRG

-5.147

-5.364

-5.168

-5.374

-5.364

E-GARCH SSTD

MAGN

-4.976

-5.039

-4.969

-5.034

-5.038

T-GARCH SSTD

MGNT

-5.098

-5.190

-5.092

-5.187

-5.186

T-GARCH SSTD

MRKC

-5.002

-5.175

-5.020

-5.183

-5.176

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKV

-4.676

-4.919

-4.712

-4.947

-4.920

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKU

-4.767

-4.974

-4.768

-4.978

-4.975

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKP

-4.815

-5.061

-4.827

-5.069

-5.061

E-GARCH SSTD

MRKZ

-4.608

-4.702

-4.608

-4.706

-4.702

E-GARCH SSTD

MSNG

-5.169

-5.335

-5.170

-5.337

-5.335

E-GARCH SSTD

MSRS

-5.262

-5.531

-5.293

-5.540

-5.531

E-GARCH SSTD

MTLR

-4.132

-4.472

-4.130

-4.468

-4.469

T-GARCH SSTD

MTSS

-5.411

-5.575

-5.419

-5.576

-5.575

E-GARCH SSTD

MVID

-5.111

-5.391

-5.140

-5.415

-5.391

E-GARCH SSTD

NLMK

-5.025

-5.062

-5.026

-5.062

-5.057

T-GARCH SSTD

NVTK

-5.252

-5.350

-5.257

-5.350

-5.349

T-GARCH SSTD

OGKB

-4.753

-4.913

-4.750

-4.911

-4.913

T-GARCH SSTD

PIKK

-5.467

-5.703

-5.468

-5.706

-5.704

E-GARCH SSTD

PLZL

-5.087

-5.600

-5.293

-5.609

-5.601

E-GARCH SSTD

RASP

-4.583

-4.779

-4.583

-4.779

-4.775

E-GARCH SSTD

ROSN

-5.525

-5.554

-5.526

-5.554

-5.554

E-GARCH SSTD

RTKM

-5.483

-5.682

-5.480

-5.689

-5.680

E-GARCH SSTD

RSTI

-4.526

-4.678

-4.524

-4.680

-4.677

E-GARCH SSTD

SBER

-5.123

-5.222

-5.126

-5.223

-5.218

E-GARCH SSTD

SNGS

-5.425

-5.498

-5.425

-5.498

-5.498

T-GARCH SSTD

SVAV

-4.990

-5.191

-5.000

-5.201

-5.190

E-GARCH SSTD

TATN

-5.081

-5.118

-5.085

-5.119

-5.111

E-GARCH SSTD

TGKA

-4.990

-5.088

-4.988

-5.089

-5.088

E-GARCH SSTD

TGKN

-4.610

-4.939

-4.619

-4.966

-4.940

E-GARCH SSTD

TRMK

-5.016

-5.216

-5.004

-5.222

-5.214

E-GARCH SSTD

UPRO

-5.290

-5.456

-5.312

-5.468

-5.456

E-GARCH SSTD

VSMO

-5.543

-5.778

-5.554

-5.791

-5.773

E-GARCH SSTD

VTBR

-5.268

-5.459

-5.264

-5.460

-5.459

E-GARCH SSTD

WTCM

-4.665

-5.578

-4.637

-5.383

-5.569

T-GARCH SSTD

MSTT

-5.124

-5.535

-5.116

-5.539

-5.535

E-GARCH SSTD

GMKN

-5.310

-5.436

-5.289

-5.435

-5.436

T-GARCH SSTD

TRNFP

-5.184

-5.288

-5.181

-5.291

-5.288

E-GARCH SSTD

IRAO

-4.909

-4.999

-4.896

-5.001

-4.995

E-GARCH SSTD

ALRS

-5.347

-5.538

-5.455

-5.468

-5.497

T-GARCH SSTD

CBOM

-5.248

-5.409

-5.264

-5.460

-5.457

E-GARCH SSTD

DSKY

-5.123

-5.222

-5.126

-5.223

-5.218

E-GARCH SSTD

MOEX

-4.909

-4.999

-4.996

-5.003

-4.995

E-GARCH SSTD

POLY

-5.362

-5.551

-5.273

-5.570

-5.551

E-GARCH SSTD

OBUV

-4.867

-4.964

-4.868

-4.998

-4.955

E-GARCH SSTD

SFIN

-4.787

-4.874

-4.778

-4.878

-4.975

GARCH SSTD

YNDX

-5.737

-5.934

-5.768

-5.978

-5.975

E-GARCH SSTD

RNFT

-5.543

-5.778

-5.554

-5.791

-5.773

E-GARCH SSTD

PHOR

-5.767

-4.974

-4.768

-4.978

-5.975

GARCH SSTD

RUAL

-5.503

-5.708

-5.534

-5.771

-5.773

GARCH SSTD

Итого:

60

E-GARCH SSTD

42

T-GARCH SSTD

14

GARCH SSTD

4

Приложение 7

Распределение доходностей, участвующих в исследовании

Источник: https://otherreferats.allbest.ru/download/1217627/

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